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How Mobile Will Lead Banks Out of COVID-19

How Mobile Will Lead Banks Out of COVID-19
By Brett King, CEO and Co-Founder of Moven
The smartphone has halved financial exclusion in just 10 years. It took banking 500 years to reach the same level of financial inclusion that the smartphone achieved in a decade. So the path to global financial inclusion was never going to be through a branch. The future of banking is already here, and it’s in your pocket.
When Cosimo de’ Medici founded the Medici Bank in 1397, little did he know that it would shape the way commerce was conducted globally for centuries to come. For the next 550 years, banking hardly changed at all. But when the Stanford Research Institute, under contract from Bank of America, built the first mainframe computer designed for bank bookkeeping and check processing, it was the start of a decades-long transformation of banking and financial services focused on both core technology and customer practices.
In my recent book, Bank 4.0, I showed how these changes are accelerating and how both digitization of industries at large, along with technology-first providers continuously attacking friction, are leading to a transformation of the entire banking sector globally. It started with the introduction of self-service and Internet banking capabilities in the 1980s and 90s, and is continuing through the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI), Augmented Reality (AR), and voice technologies that we’re seeing the early stages of today
Figure 1: Bank 1.0 to Bank 4.0 Transformation Drivers

Digital Technologies Bring the Benefits of Financial Mobilization

In 2014, I predicted that by 2025 branches in Western economies would be around 70 percent of their pre-digital peak. That estimate seemed aggressive back in 2014, but today with the impact of COVID-19, it looks increasingly likely. More significantly, by 2025, most people with a basic value store of digital money (like a mobile wallet or super app) will have never seen the inside of a bank branch. That’s because the next 2 billion people who bank won’t ever have visited one.
In 2005, if you lived in Kenya, there was a 70 percent chance you didn’t have a bank account, nor could you store money safely, and it’s likely your savings were non-existent. Today, if you’re an adult living in Kenya, there’s a 98 percent likelihood that you have used a mobile money account (stored on your phone SIM card), and that you can transfer money instantly to any other adult in Kenya. Data shows that Kenyans now trust their phone more than they trust cash in terms of safety and utility, with people sewing SIM cards into their clothes or hiding them in their shoes so they can more safely carry their money with them. This is all possible because of a mobile money service called M-PESA, created by the telecommunications operator Safaricom. Today, at least 40 percent of Kenya’s GDP runs across the rails of M-PESA.
“We’re currently sitting at about 22 million customers out of a total mobile customer base of about 26 million. Now, if you take the population of Kenya as being 45 million, half of whom are adults, you can see we're capturing pretty much every adult in the country. We are transmitting the equivalent of 40 percent of the country’s GDP through the system, and at peak we’re doing about 600 transactions per second, which is faster and more voluminous than any other banking system.”
— Bob Collymore, CEO of Safaricom/M-PESA, in 2016
When it comes to financial inclusion, Kenya has done more to improve the lot of its populace in the last 10 years than the US has done in the last 50. Indeed, Kenya today has a higher rate of financial inclusion than the United States — a mind-blowing statistic. In the US, the Federal Reserve reports that approximately 20 percent of US households are unbanked or underbanked, while 97 percent of the Kenyan adult population has access to a mobile money service that acts as a basic bank account or value store. Despite a decrease of 12 percent in branch numbers since 2008, the US remains one of the highest branch density economies in the world. How can it be that the country with the second-highest per capita density of bank branches in the world still has one-fifth of its households underbanked? The answer is identity documentation and lack of mobile adoption.
One of the primary causes of financial exclusion today isn’t simply access to banking, but access to the identity documents that are required to open a bank account. Since 9/11, documentary requirements to open a bank account in the US have become stricter, in line with the Patriot Act and the Customer Identification Program (CIP) that’s enshrined in US banking law and regulations. However, more than half of the US population doesn’t have a passport (only 42 percent had one as of 2018), and only 76 percent of the population has a driver’s license. Even if they could get to a bank branch, 20 to 25 percent of the US adult population wouldn’t qualify to get a bank account.
In India, up until 2014, less than 30 percent of the population had a bank account. The Reserve Bank of India had tried increasing branch access; in fact, they put in place regulations that meant growing banks in India who wanted to deploy new branches had to put one of every four new branches in rural areas not yet served by a bank.
As of 2018, more than 1.2 billion Indian nationals had been enrolled in the Aadhaar identity card program. That’s a whopping 88 percent of the Indian population. The effect of identity reform in India is that the number of those included in the financial system has skyrocketed. The segment of the population most excluded in the old banking system — lower income households and women — has seen 100 percent year-on-year growth every year since the Aadhaar card initiative was launched in 2009. As of 2015, more than 358 million Indian women (61 percent) had bank accounts, up from 281 million (48 percent) in 2014. This is the biggest single jump for ‘banked’ women among eight South Asian and African countries. Meanwhile, Paytm, the largest mobile money service or mobile wallet app in India, has exploded in popularity. Back in 2016, Paytm aimed to have 250 million users by 2020, but they are already at more than double that number. Branch activity has continued to decline in India.
The benefits of financial mobilization are numerous. In Kenya, where approximately 49 percent of GDP flows through M-PESA, Kenyans are reported to be saving up to 26 percent more today than when they only used cash. Crime is down, savings are up, but the most interesting effects are in response to poverty, credit access, and employment. Access to mobile money has lifted two percent of Kenyan households (194,000 families) out of extreme poverty, brought 185,000 women out of subsistence farming and into business, and increased access to basic credit facilities for starting a business or dealing with emergencies.
In China, the use of facial recognition technology along with mobile payments capability has transformed the economy in just six short years. Despite the difficulties of the COVID-19 pandemic, China’s citizens have remained productive financially because of a very strong mobile financial services capability built on top of Ant Financial’s Alipay and Tencent’s WeChat Pay. In 2019 mobile payments in China exceeded US$31 trillion, almost 30 percent higher than the estimated US$23 trillion in plastic card payments globally. Yes, that’s right: China’s mobile payments transaction exceed the entire world’s transactions on credit and debit cards.
One of the most successful savings products in history, Ant Financial’s Yu’e Bao, and the most successful challenger bank in the world, WeBank, have both emerged on top of this mobile ecosystem. With more than 34 percent market share of the world’s smartphone market, and the leading 5G technology on the planet, the mobile ecosystem of China rivals that of any other nation today.

The Future of Banking Is in Your Pocket

If you are a bank emerging from the Coronavirus crisis, then, what should you do?
One thing that has become glaringly clear during COVID-19 is that, as a result of reliance on physical branches, most major banks neglected building real engagement capabilities with customers in the digital sphere. We only really focused on the acquisition of customers (revenue-side) and self-service capabilities that reduced costs to the bank; we didn’t see value in engaging customers digitally when they could do that in a branch, and that was a strong use case for ongoing branch relevance. But challenger banks have come through COVID-19 with much stronger perceived engagement and service metrics than traditional players. That’s because their tone of communications, their ability to respond to critical service issues, and their capacity to adapt in terms of offerings have all stood out above traditional players.
Secondly, most challengers and startups in general have found working from home a trivial matter, and they’ve also appeared to weather this storm much better than traditional players. For example, Twitter announced in May that it was making working from home optional moving forward, and many companies will find their large retail office spaces increasingly questioned in an arena where telecommuting has become strongly viable, and even critical. In fact, many organizations have found productivity increases have come with employees working from home, too. But this is a radical shift from the compliance-heavy structures we find in banks still reliant on 20th century organizational thinking.
By 2030, it is estimated that more than 90 percent of the world’s population will have access to the Internet through a smartphone. Smartphones are increasingly getting cheaper to manufacture and deploy. Today brand new basic smartphones can be found on the streets of India, South Africa, and Nigeria for under US$50. By 2030, it’s expected that such devices will be available essentially for free, with basic subscription services for access to the Internet. It’s expected that tech giants like Facebook, Google, Tencent, Alibaba, and Amazon may move to give away smartphone access to individuals who subscribe to basic services through their infrastructure. By 2050, access to basic internet infrastructure will be all but ubiquitous across the planet, meaning everyone will participate in the digital economy. Cash won’t be illegal; you just won’t find anywhere to use it — at least that’s what William Gibson predicted in his book Count Zero.
“He had his cash money, but you couldn’t pay for food with that. It wasn’t actually illegal to have the stuff, it was just that nobody ever did anything legitimate with it.”
— William Gibson, Count Zero (1986)
Will branches still exist? Yes, but you won’t need them to do banking; in fact, banking will be smart, real-time, and embedded in your life. To think that banking will still be done predominantly in branches instead of on our smartphones would be ludicrous. That isn’t even the situation today, where mobile banking transactions outnumber branch interactions by 10,000:1 globally. But the path to global financial inclusion was never going to be through a branch. The smartphone has halved financial exclusion in just 10 years. It took banking 500 years to reach the same level of financial inclusion that the smartphone achieved in a decade.
The future of banking is already here, and it’s in your pocket.
submitted by helloworddd to HuaweiDevelopers [link] [comments]

[OC] I tried writing up a short Jimmy Butler player breakdown:

"short"
Definitions and Terms I'll be using:
FULL LIST + EXPLANATIONS ON IMGUR: per 75, TS%, rTS%, ORTG, rORTG, PnR, PPP, AST%, Backpicks Passer Rating, Box Creation, PIPM, BPM, RAPTOR, RPM.
Name:

Jimmy Butler | "Jimmy G. Buckets"

In a nutshell: 30 y/o, Miami Heat SF/PF, 6-7, 230lb, All-NBA Candidate
2020 regular-season stats: 19.9/6.7/6.0/1.8/0.6 with 2.2 TOVs on 45.5/24.4/83.4 shooting splits (58.5 TS%), 58 games played
2020 postseason stats: 22.0/4.7/4.0/2.5/0.8 with 3.3 TOVs on 46.8/54.5/85.7 shooting splits (63.0 TS%), 6 games played
Nerd stats: 25.1% Usage, +6.4 On/Off, +3.54 PIPM (16th) , +6.1 RAPTOR (10th) , +4.1 BPM (Backpicks) (13th) , +5.4 BPM (BBRef) (9th) , +3.08 RPM (23rd) , +2.21 Luck-Adjusted RAPM (12th)

🟢 The Good:

  • 🟢 Efficient volume-scorer; "Jimmy G. Buckets, The 'G' stands for 'Gets'": 21.6 Points/75 on 58.5 TS% (+2.0 rTS%) in the regular-season, 23.8 Points/75 on 63.0 TS% (+5.7 rTS%) in the playoffs thus far
Butler finished the regular-season as Miami's leading scorer. He's highly resourceful at racking up points, utilising strength, speed, craft, handles, and deft touch in the paint to compensate for a jumper that deserts him on occasion. Per Basketball Index, Butler is in the 95th-percentile at off-ball movement and finishing among wings, and in the 93rd percentile for post-scoring.
Jimmy Buckets's scoring-breakdown by zone in the 2019-20 regular-season: (per stats.nba.com)
    • 38% of his shot attempts come in the restricted area, where he's finishing at an above-average rate for forwards (64 FG%)
    • 24% of his shot attempts come in the non-restricted area of the paint (a.k.a. "floater range"), where he's also scoring at above-average rate (43.4 FG%)
    • 22% of his shot attempts come from the midrange, where he's unfortunately shot at the 2nd-worst rate in the league (31.7 FG%)
    • 16% of his shot attempts come from 3, where he's shooting at the worst rate in the league (24.8 FG%)
Jimmy uses his strength/speed/footwork combination to bulldoze or finesse his way to the rim and finish through contact, capable of athletic finishes through multiple defenders.
To quote the great Evin Gualberto:
(Butler's) foundation is his phenomenal footwork. He’s got the poise and patience to pivot and pump, and twist, and then rip through and power to the paint. He can use his force or finish with finesse; he’ll go any way he needs in order to get to the basket, whether that’s under the defender, over, around, or even through them. He’s got the ability to hit from distance, his post game is pretty with the pristine pivoting he does, but he can also go full bully ball. Speaking of, he’s an absolute bull when he wants to get to the rim. He can score any kind of way, so as a defense, all you have to do is make him take the toughest shot possible…the only problem is, yeah, he can make those with worryingly regularity as well. He is Jimmy G Buckets after all, the G stands for gets.
In previous years, Jimmy has been a decent 3-point-shooter (36 3P% in the previous 3 seasons, on 3.2 3PA/game) and has generally shot in the high 30s from midrange, which isn't fantastic but is still a value-add to his versatility as a scorer.
In the playoffs thus far, however, Butler has been money on his jumpshots, connecting on over half his threes (though on low volume - 1.8 3PA/game) and 42% of his midrange shots (again, low volume - 12 midrange attempts) so far.
As an overall scorer, Jimmy is:
    • A hyper-competent and -active cutter (8% of his possessions, 97th percentile efficiency)
    • Fantastic in transition (12% of his possessions, 92nd percentile efficiency)
    • A competent post-operator (7% of his possessions, 80th percentile efficiency)
    • A passable PnR finisher (36% of his possessions, 56th percentile efficiency)
    • Solid in isolation situations, likely buoyed by his very good rim-finishing (10% of his possessions, 68th percentile)
    • Below-average scoring from spot-up scenerios and handoffs
Despite his jumpshot having deserted him in the regular season, Jimmy ekes out efficient scoring options via drawing fouls and very solid rim-finishing in transition, isolation, and by cutting often and decisively. To quote Zach Lowe:
(Butler) can blend into a broader offensive system as a shoulder-checking cutter, and supersede that system when the situation requires.
Accordingly, 41% of Butler's buckets are assisted, an extremely solid rate for a primary ball-handler who had a non-existent jumpshot during the regular-season, that showcases his off-ball activity as a ferocious cutter.
  • 🟢 Free-throw rate that would make Shaq blush
Jimmy Butler's foul-drawing rate this season has been, to put it mildly, something of an outlier.
Butler is 29th in the NBA in Points/game (19.9), but 5th in the NBA in FTA/game (9.1), and just to emphasize how absurdly often Butler's been finding his way to the line relative to his total shot attempts, here's a fun little table comparing Butler's FTA/game and Points/Game to the league's other elite free-throw-attempters: [TABLE].
To try and add even more context, Free Throw Rate (FTr) is a very simple statistic that gives the ratio of free-throw attempts to field-goal attempts.
Just to ballpark the sort of numbers we expect from high-volume free-throw shooters: famed foul-shot-aficionado James Harden's FTr this season is 0.528, meaning that he averages 0.528 free-throw attempts for every field-goal that he takes. (The Beard's career-high was 0.592, set in 2013.) Paint-destroyer Giannis Antetokounmpo has a FTr of 0.508 this year, and low-post monster Joel Embiid has a FTr of 0.543. A pretty dominant fella who went by the name of Shaquille had a career-average FTr of 0.578, averaging an incredible 0.653 in a 5-year span from 2001 to 2005.
Now, keeping all of this in mind ... Miami Heat All-Star wing Jimmy Butler's Free-Throw Rate, in the 2019-20 season, is 0.693.
(If you're wondering, Butler has more than managed to maintain this in the playoffs too -- after 6 games, Jimmy is 2nd in the entire playoffs in Free-Throw Rate, posting a ludicrous 0.810 FTr.)
  • 🟢 Good playmaker
First, some numbers: 6.0 Assists/Game, 7.5 Passer Rating, 7.4 Box Creation. Miami have a fairly strong offense (+1.9 rORTG, 6th) which improves by +4.1 points with Butler on the court. Per Basketball Index, Jimmy is in the 91st percentile for playmaking among wings.
For a few seasons now, Jimmy has been a very solid passer and playmaker. Mimicking another former well-known Chicago wing who went by the name of Michael, Jimmy is a low-turnover player (career 1.5 TOV/game; this season: 2.2 TOV/Game, excellent 2.73 AST/TOV ratio). He is a decisive and relatively low-error ball-handler and shot-creator, hitting bigs and shooters well off PnDHO-action. Butler manipulates defenders with his eyes to unlock shots for teammates, and is also adept at punishing help defenders who have to react to his bruising drives to the rim by kicking to shooters and dropping it off to cutters. He's developed especially good chemistry with Bam (25% of Butler's 6.0 AST/game go to Adebayo), Duncan Robinson (who receives 17% of Butler's assists), and rookie Kendrick Nunn (18%).
Some clips of Jimmy's playmaking: (Source: stats.nba.com)
  • 🟢 Excellent defender
Jimmy at his peak is easily an all-league defensive talent, with tremendous instincts and effort on D, generally remaining incredibly active on that end both on- and off-the-ball. Miami's 12th-ranked defense (-1.0 rDRTG) improves by 1.0 points with Butler on the floor. Butler’s defensive awareness is top-tier, as is his lateral quickness - he's comfortable chasing speedy guards around the court; Jimmy is also uber-switchable for his size, guarding positions 1-4 at least 18% of the time each, and guarding centers for 10% of his possessions, when switched onto bigs in Miami small-ball lineups. Jimmy is in the 82nd percentile of post defenders, fantastic given his position, and players shoot a whopping 4.4% worse on 3s when Butler's the closest defender, demonstrating his defensive engagement and closeout-speed.
To again quote Evin:
(Butler's) ability to stand up powerful post-up players, coupled with the quickness to stick with the shiftiest wings, and the instincts and IQ to know when to stay down and when to jump to contest, make him a dynamite defender... (he) frustrates opponents with foot speed and anticipating with active hands, he’ll blow up pick and rolls, or send his man one way only to remarkably beat him to that same spot. You’ll see jumping in passing lanes, but you’ll also just see him holding his ground a lot; in one, he even holds Melo off with one arm while grabbing the rebound with the other. His intelligence shines through when he avoids getting screened and when he forced ball handlers into help.
Butler is quite disruptive off-ball (7th in Deflections/Game, 7th in Steals/Game, 13th in Steal-%, 14th in loose-balls recovered/game), often jumping passing lanes or making crisp rotations to cut off offensive angles. He's also a plus-rebounder for his position, snagging almost seven boards a game; the Heat's defensive-rebound-% spikes by almost 3 percentage points with Butler on the court. He's generally very engaged on D, providing hard closeouts to shooters (players shoot almost 4.3% worse from 3 when Jimmy is the closest defender) and providing help when the primary Miami defender is beat. Along with Adebayo, Butler is one of the main reasons Miami's defense is still better than league-average even though their lineups prioritise shooting over defense (see: Robinson, Herro, Leonard, Olynyk).
Most defensive metrics (taken with a spoonful or two of salt, of course) think of Butler as a very solid positive on defense (+1.0 to +2.0); Basketball Index has Jimmy as the 4th-best Wing Stopper at Passing Lane Defense, and ranks him in the 90th percentile of perimeter defenders in the league overall. It also has him in the 71st percentile as a defensive rebounder, and in the 47th percentile as an interior defender.
Here are some clips of Jimmy's defense:

🔴 The Not-As-Good:

  • 🔴 Inconsistent jumpshot
Butler suffered the 7th-biggest drop in the league in perimeter shooting grade from last year to this year (per Basketball Index). Famously, he was the least efficient jump-shooter in the league by eFG% in the regular-season.
As mentioned, though, his jumpshot has been very respectable in the bubble for now, albeit on very low volume.
  • 🔴 Room for improvement in some areas of scoring
Namely: spot-up shooting, handoffs, and PnR scoring, all likely related to his regular-season shooting woes.
  • 🔴 Some areas of playmaking
From my very limited film study (~15 games), Jimmy doesn't seem to try advanced passes often (though that might be a Miami Heat scheme-related issue), rarely slingshoting cross-court skip-passes to corner shooters like LeBron/Luka/Trae do (please correct me if I'm wrong, Heat fans!). He can occasionally miss cutters while hunting for the kickout pass for 3. Butler's delivery can sometimes be a bit wild or inaccurate as well.
  • 🔴 Some areas of defense
Jimmy's activity does dial down on occasion. He also lacks size/strength/length to defend larger wings consistently, and his gambles can blow up on him at times too when he's springing passing lanes, with the player he's supposed to be guarding getting an open 3 or cutting to the rim as Butler isn't there to recover in time. Jimmy is also vulnerable to size at the rim - despite posting one of the best block rates in the league for a guard/forward, these are mostly on smaller players and he doesn't seem to influence shot attempts at the rim too much in general - opponents shoot almost 6% better within 6 feet of the hoop when Butler's the closest defender. It appears that Butler's pick-and-roll defense also has some room for improvement as he may have trouble negotiating man and ball sometimes - he's in the 46th percentile in defending PnR ball-handlers, which isn't terrible, by any means, but is still far from elite.
  • 🔴 A few regular-season clutch woes
Jimmy shot 45.1 TS% in the clutch this season, with a -10.4 individual clutch net rating, while Miami as a team were 24th in clutch net rating.
However, the team still broke even in the wins column (18-18) and had a 14-10 clutch record when Butler played.
In addition, I say "regular-season" for a reason (keep in mind the usual "low sample size" asterisk, of course): Miami have been the 4th-best clutch team in the playoffs by net rating, winning all 3 of their close games so far, while Jimmy himself is sporting a blistering hot 88.7 clutch TS% and +29.8 clutch net rating at the moment, with an absolutely scorching +137.5 clutch offensive rating.
  • 🔴 Few durability questions
Jimmy G. Buckets (the 'G.' stands for 'Gets') has played >67 games only twice in his 9-year career.
HOWEVER, he's been very available for the Heat this season, missing 'only' 11 games.
Indeed, Butler played heavy minutes in his last playoff run for Philadelphia (38mpg in 2nd round) as well, performing admirably in a razor-close loss to the eventual champion Raptors in the 2nd round (22/7/6 on 56ts%, +1.0rTS%, vs Toronto), very nearly pulling through a Sixers team otherwise starved of late-game offensive-creation into the Conference Finals.

That's it for today, thanks for reading!

(P.S. Here's Butler's playoff career-high 40-point performance against Milwaukee in Game 1 for your viewing pleasure: LINK.)
BONUS
heres some other things I've written (if you're interested in this sort of stuff or just wanna pass the time while waiting for the games to begin)-
submitted by KagsTheOneAndOnly to nba [link] [comments]

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